Here is why HLF stock may be headed to over $300 a share in the next few years……….

It was reported back in 2012 that recovery in health & wellness programs was underway.  It appears as though those predictions were not accurate, they were conservative.

Strong recovery of the global health and wellness market is on the way, with sales recording 6.5% value growth (fixed exchange rates) in 2011.  Products offering specific health benefits, such as fortified/functional, or those renowned for their natural health properties drove value sales, with rates above 7%. Growth was further fuelled by the developments in the emerging markets as China and Brazil alone contributed US$15 billion in new sales that year. Steady real term growth of 7.2% (current prices) is expected to continue to 2017, with global health and wellness sales on the way to hit a record high of US$1 trillion by 2017.

Note that  one of the emerging markets mentioned is China. Herbalife has a huge presence in China. Although this is hardly news,  I do believe that the power of being in China has been was under estimated. Not mention the emphasis on weight loss and wellness worldwide.

HEALTH AND WELLNESS VERSUS NON-HEALTH AND WELLNESS PACKAGED FOOD AND BEVERAGES, RETAIL SALES 2002-2017

 

8

9

Source: Euromonitor International

 

TOP 30 HEALTH AND WELLNESS GROWTH MARKETS

10

Herbalife has presence in all of these countries. Notice that China is #1 and USA is #3. Expect these markets to explode for Herbalife as we move forward.

While some of these stats go back to 2012, it is widely believed that Herbalife has been artificially held back by the Ackman scam, relentless attacks that covered all over the media. The attacks were not just focused on belaboring current and new distributors, but also to deter potential consumers.

The fact that the FTC fiasco is now over. That the film mislabeled a documentary which was really a informcercial for Ackman, that Ackmans skills and judgement have been seriously questioned and while Herbalife seems to be soaring orbit to orbit in spite of all this, look for a huge EXPLOSION in Herbalife as move through 2017 and beyond.

There is reason to believe that there is lot of held back growth in HLF stock and in Herbalife as a company. With the worst, if not all the bad things now over, now is the time for Herbalife to make a huge run up.

OBESITY IS ON THE RISE.

Despite numerous attempts to curb the growing obesity epidemic, the obese and overweight population is on the rise, crossing the 70% benchmark in Mexico, Venezuela, Australia and US (amongst the population aged 15+). Long-term solutions leading to calorie reduction via healthy lifestyle changes rather than short-term diets are becoming a necessity, hugely benefiting global sales of weight management positioned food and beverages, already at a staggering US$149 billion in 2011.

This represents a massive source of new business for Herbalife. There are  more overweight people now around the world than when Herblaife first started in 1980. MASSIVE MARKET POTENTIAL!

Copycats and competitors don’t cut it.

We have seen the Herbalife copycats out there. Do Vemma and Body By Vi come to mind? Where are they now? While there are imitators and copycats, the johnny come laters always end up short.

Herbalife has mastered this market for decades. Quality products that offer utility. They work. Plus personal one on one counseling from a wellness coach who offers support. Buy a product in a health food or any store, when does someone from the store call you and offer followup? Answer: NEVER!

One of the biggest issues with people trying to lose weight is that most programs never work. Dieters then get discouraged. Aside from the superiority of the product that Herbalife offers, there is once again the support and motivation from the wellness coach who sees to it that clients actually start the program, stay with it and answer any issues the client may have.

This is what makes Herbalife  different.

Dieters are getting tired of the typical diets and other programs marketed out there.

For years, Americans cycled through one brand-name diet after another, each promising a sure method to lose weight. Along the way, Jenny Craig, Weight Watchers and Lean Cuisine made fortunes off their low-calorie, low-fat diet programs and products.

But it seems those days are over, according to industry analysts and nutritionists. “Dieting is not a fashionable word these days,” says Susan Roberts, a professor of nutrition and psychiatry at Tufts University. “[Consumers] equate the word diet with deprivation, and they know deprivation doesn’t work.”

Dieters then get discouraged and quit. There are now reports that these traditionally heavily marketed diets and weight loss programs are falling out of favor. Clients become discouraged and disillusioned with non results and deprivation.  They want something that is fun, simple and easy and most importantly…….actually works. That opens the door for Herbalife via wellness coaches.

“Consumers are not dieting in the traditional sense anymore – being on programs or buying foods specific to programs,” says Marissa Gilbert, an analyst from Mintel who worked on the report. “And there’s greater societal acceptance of different body sizes.”

That’s really hurt the dieting industry, Gilbert says. From summer 2014 to summer 2015, Lean Cuisine’s frozen meal sales dropped from around $700 million to about $600 million, or about 15 percent. Weight Watchers, Medifast and Jenny Craig have also seen revenues wither over the past few years. Sales of diet pills have dropped 20 percent in the last year, according to the Mintel report.

Roberts says it’s likely because many people who wanted to lose weight tried these diets and programs but weren’t successful. “They’ve tried Weight Watchers and Jenny Craig and books and things of their own design,” she says. “It didn’t work.”

Dieters folly.  But this bodes well for Herbalife. Why? Because Herbalife is different. There is no deprivation. No counting calories. No eating frozen  foods. No going to meetings. It is a natural, healthy program using super foods,  provides optimum nutrition with lower calories. And once again, there is the support of the wellness coach.

As Jean Fain, a Harvard Medical School-affiliated psychotherapist and author, has noted, programs like Weight Watchers typically are just “a short-term fix and conditional support for long-standing eating issues” and can even exacerbate them.

With each subsequent failure, people become more skeptical about the products. Some give up on losing weight altogether, Roberts adds.

But many people do still want to lose weight, and increasingly they’re hoping good nutrition and “healthy eating” will get them there, says R.J. Hottovy, a senior equity analyst with market research firm Morningstar. “Consumers are looking for a more holistic, more health and wellness approach,” he says. “The shift in food trends is toward fresher and more natural ingredients.”

Another issue is trying to get good, quality nutrition eating normal foods.  And what really constitutes healthy eating. With Herbalife, you are getting not only a supplement, but also a menu using real foods  guiding the client to use good foods

And while Weight Watchers’ point system emphasizes “natural” fare and home-cooked meals, it’s still manufacturing processed, high-sodium, low-fiber products. It is no secret that sodium is very bad for anyone. Excessive sodium that is and most people are getting far too much sodium in their daily eating.  I’ve never heard of anyone suffering from a   sodium deficiency.

Previously here on twitter and on that ridiculous FAKE NEWS course Seeking alpha, some of those so called “experts” who attack Herbalife actually called  diet soda a “Health Food” hahahahaha. Unfortunately, many people look at diet soda as a safe alternative and drink of choice.  Diet soda is just as bad for you as regular soda. Just less calories. More chemicals. And will ruin your health. Certaintly NOT  a “Health Food”.

What about those prepackaged meals?????

According to Julie Lehman, marketing director for Lean Cuisine, the company, which is owned by Nestle, has put new labels on products that were already cholesterol-free or gluten-free without changing their formulations. “Lean Cuisine is an emblem of the diet culture that we’ve all grown up with. We know that and we want to walk away from that and focus on eating well and eating healthy,” she says. The brand has added “No Preservatives” and “Gluten-Free” and “Non-GMO” labels and a new line of frozen meals, certified organic by the nonprofit Oregon Tilth. “Consumers are demanding some of these things, and we want to offer it to them,” Lehman says.

Roberts is unconvinced. She doesn’t see the products getting any healthier. “They can relabel them, but the meals are not any different. If you open a box of Lean Cuisine or something like that, you’ll see about a quarter cup of veggies in there. Is that an outstandingly healthy meal? By my standards, it’s not.”

People will still be hungry and still feel deprived, and may ultimately not meet weight loss goals, she says. “They’ll give healthy eating a bad name just as they gave dieting a bad name.”

This is the problem with traditional dieting. You reduce calories with real foods, you cut calories and also cut down on nutrition; Even when you choose good foods like veggies, are you getting enough? Hardly. This is why these diets fail . You are hungry. Body is starving. These programs don’t work.  Yet Herbalife succeeds massively.

 

 

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